Editor's note: The public is increasingly split as to whether people are exaggerating or underestimating the health threat of COVID, and it is becoming an increasingly emotional issue, which is understandable, considering what is at stake. Here at TTP we can honestly say that we don't know, and see compelling arguments from both camps. In that spirit, we will publish both sides if we think they shed some light. As the saying goes, "Truth is born in debate."
I might as well out myself: I’m a COVID-19 skeptic, a.k.a. a Coronaskeptic.
I have to be careful when I talk about the ChiCom flu with my friends and acquaintances. The vast majority of them, both liberals and conservatives, have succumbed to the general hysteria that has been propagated by the television and greatly amplified by social media. Conservatives are slightly less likely than liberals to have joined the mad rush of panic, but most of them have been infected by it to at least some degree.
I don’t think Corona 2019-nCoV, a.k.a. COVID-19, a.k.a. the Chinese Crud, is “the most deadly epidemic in human history”, or whatever hyperbolic designation that is currently being peddled by the media. Rather, it is a pandemic of mass hysteria.
That doesn’t mean that I think that the Wuhan Coronavirus doesn’t exist, or that it isn’t killing people. I’ve simply come to the conclusion that it is no more dangerous than the seasonal flu, and possibly less so.
If I posted the above on social media, it would immediately be taken down, and my account with Facebook/Twitter/Instagram/YouTube would most likely be closed. The major social sites have joined hands with the legacy media and governmental agencies to suppress any opinions that contradict the coronavirus narrative.
I’ve waited this long to post about it because I’ve been patiently collecting data on the disease since long before the hysteria began. The first thing I can tell you is that ALL the models that predicted the trajectory of the pandemic are useless. None of them seems to have remotely reflected the reality of the spread of the disease. As a result I won’t be referring to any of them; there’s no point.
Before I outline my general conclusions about what’s happening, I’ll go over some of the data points here.
The single most valuable resource I’ve encountered thus far is a Swiss site called Swiss Propaganda Research. Yes, they are avowed Coronaskeptics, but they have compiled their data carefully and thoroughly, and they source everything they assert. My favorite quote from them is this one:
Danish researcher Peter Gøtzsche, founder of the renowned Cochrane Medical Collaboration, writes that Corona is “an epidemic of mass panic” and “logic was one of the first victims.”
I recommend their page as a useful source for links to detailed, sober scientific data on the spread and virulence of COVID-19. It is updated frequently.
Peter Robinson’s interview with Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, a professor of medicine at Stanford University, is lucid and informative (hat tip Power Line):
Scott Jensen is a physician and — horrors! — Republican state senator in Minnesota. In the following video he reveals to an astonished interviewer that the state government had given doctors instructions on how to tweak death certificates to overstate the incidence of COVID-19 as the cause of death (thanks to Vlad for uploading this video):
For some interesting analysis of the WuFlu data, see Vlad’s two interviews with former CIA station chief Brad Johnson.
We are far enough into the pandemic now to have ample data on its lethality. At this point it seems to roughly comparable with the seasonal flu — maybe slightly worse, maybe not quite as bad.
The data from Germany have proved particularly useful. According to this article from Reason:
Over the last two weeks, German virologists tested nearly 80 percent of the population of Gangelt for antibodies that indicate whether they’d been infected by the coronavirus. Around 15 percent had been infected, allowing them to calculate a COVID-19 infection fatality rate of about 0.37 percent. The researchers also concluded that people who recover from the infection are immune to reinfection, at least for a while.
For comparison, the U.S. infection fatality rates for the 1957-58 flu epidemic was around 0.27 percent; for the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic, it was about 2.6 percent. For seasonal flu, the rate typically averages around 0.1 percent. Basically, the German researchers found that the coronavirus kills about four times as many infected people than seasonal flu viruses do.
More recent studies indicate that the infection fatality rate is generally less than 0.1% — on a par with the seasonal flu.
As of the middle of April, it looks like the coronavirus may kill about 60,000 people in the USA. In comparison, according to this CNN report, 80,000 people died of the flu during the 2017-2018 season. And, funnily enough, the CDC recently revised its number for that flu season downwards, to about 61,000. A cynic might say that they decided to push it down to make it appear not as bad as COVID-19.
To add an interesting twist to the coronavirus story, see my post from earlier tonight about Professor Luc Montagnier, the Nobel Prize winner who maintains that COVID-19 can only have been produced by genetic manipulation in a laboratory.
Finally, see this compilation of worldwide government crackdowns on the populace, plus a digest of a Rockefeller Foundation document about the “global governance” response to a pandemic. It will almost certainly be taken down by YouTube (if it hasn’t already), but Vlad kindly uploaded it to 3Speak:
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What conclusions can we draw from all these data points?
The account below represents a “line of best fit” with the data accumulated so far. As more information comes in, the application of Occam’s Razor to it may change this analysis, but here is a snapshot of my conclusions as of April 19, 2020.
It seems likely that COVID-19 is a genetically modified antigen that escaped from a Chinese bioweapons laboratory in Wuhan. Based on espionage arrests in the last two years, the virus itself may have originated in North America and been stolen from a Canadian laboratory (in Winnipeg, I think) by Chinese spies.
Whether the virus was released deliberately or accidentally is an open question. My guess is that it escaped accidentally. I can’t see any advantage for the Chinese to have released it in Wuhan. Any damage done to the West is far outweighed by the ongoing harm to the People’s Republic of China. Just two examples: (1) The British government has decided to cancel their contract with Huawei as a vendor of 5G network hardware, and (2) the value of Australian real estate is projected to drop by 50% in the coronavirus recession, and the Chinese oligarchs have invested heavily in Australian real estate.
OK, so maybe the Chinese government failed to foresee outcomes such as these. If so, they would seem to be stupid. Generally speaking, however, the Chinese are anything but stupid.
My guess is that they intended to release the virus somewhere in the West where it would do the most damage. Alternatively, they may have wanted to stockpile it and use it as a carefully targeted threat to accomplish their strategic objectives. However, the safety measures at their Wuhan laboratory were so inadequate that the virus managed to escape and spread from Wuhan to the rest of the world.
The resulting epidemic was exactly what the global media/political conglomerate had been waiting for. The Rockefeller Foundation and Bill Gates’ outfit make it clear that a global pandemic was a crisis that they couldn’t afford to waste. The media went all-out spreading coronavirus hysteria, and the general public played right into their hands. Panic ruled the day.
Governments all across the world were unable to withstand the popular panic, even if they had wanted to. Any national or regional leader who didn’t immediately get with the program was liable to be voted out of office, or impeached, or assassinated.
And not all of them were averse to the idea — to a progressive politician, the ChiCom flu provided a golden opportunity to implement the total political and economic control they’d been longing to impose. Time to shut everything down, and send in SWAT teams to quell dissenters!
In this manner the economies of the West were systematically destroyed. For a dedicated leftist, this wasn’t a bug, but a feature: on the ashes of the capitalist system they will be able to build the perfect Socialist State.
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Consider the simple numbers:
A severe flu season can kill 60,000-80,000 people in the USA. The coronavirus may well kill 60,000-80,000 Americans.
But the media weren’t eagerly chronicling the daily death toll from the flu. Yes, the flu made the news. But nothing was shut down. Schools and restaurants weren’t closed. The flu was simply in the news, and citizens were urged to get vaccinated. That was about it.
Heck, 40,000 people die in automobile accidents every year in the USA. We could prevent those by banning driving. But that would… destroy the economy!
COVID-19 was deliberately, systematically, turned into something else. It was made into a tool to totally transform Western society, a goal that Barack Hussein Obama always dreamed of but never managed to accomplish.
The pandemic of coronavirus hysteria is designed to realize the goals of the transnational Left.
For links to any materials mentioned above and not covered by Swiss Propaganda Research, see Gates of Vienna news feeds from about January 15 to mid-April.
The title of this post is a reference to the song of the same name by Be-Bop Deluxe, from their 1978 album Drastic Plastic (audio and lyrics here). It’s not particularly appropriate, but it makes for a good title.